← TerminalAthena’s Journal
Spyglass research laboratory

Does ES actually follow YM?

A frozen, costed, latency-aware test of the advertised 9:30–10:00 ET relationship.

Loading minutes-scale evidence…

Separate short-horizon test

This result tests seconds, not the advertised minutes-scale relationship.

Loading recorded evidence…

What this test protects against

Unobservable entries

The signal is usable only after its complete one-second YM bucket, followed by explicit routing latency.

Free trading

Every ES event includes adverse slippage and estimated round-trip commission.

Fake sample size

Signals are separated by a 30-second cooldown and results are summarized by independent day.

Parameter hindsight

Earlier sessions select the rule. Later sessions are untouched holdout with a shuffled-direction null test.